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Mozo Live: Two of the Big Four banks signal 'super-sized' rate cut in May
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Several economists and financial institutions, including two of the Big Four banks, are forecasting that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a 50 basis point (0.50%) cut to the cash rate at its next monetary policy meeting on May 20, reducing the rate from 4.10% to 3.60%.
Here’s who's tipping a ‘super-sized’ rate cut next month:
ANZ won't rule out a 50 bp cut in May , “if sentiment sours and the global growth outlook deteriorates sufficiently”, aiming for 3.35% by August 2025.
AMP chief economist Shane Oliver has acknowledged the possibility of a 50 basis point cut in May but does not advocate for an emergency reduction.
Deutsche Bank initially forecast a 50 bp cut but adjusted its prediction to a 25 basis point reduction in May after recent developments in U.S. trade policy.
The ASX RBA Rate Indicator shows market participants are pricing in a significant probability of a 50 basis point cut at the May meeting.
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